As I've discussed endlessly (heh) in comments, I want whoever the nominee is to be the choice of democratic voters. I don't want a delegate win, I want a voter win. Because it's the voters we have to get back out in November. In anticipation of Super Tuesday, here's my calculations of the popular vote so far. I will update it after Super Tuesday. As expected, it's close between Obama and Clinton.
Clinton Edwards Obama
70,505 71,222 89,864 IOWA+
112,610 48,818 105,007 NH++
58,893 43,384 52,339 NEVADA+
141,217 93,576 295,214 SC
854,391 247,926 567,027 FLA+++
1,237,616 504,926 1,109,451 TOTAL
+Caucus states are based on applying the % of state delegates to the estimated participant numbers, it's not very precise, but there's no other way I could think of doing it. I'd love to hear if anyone has any better ideas. I don't think Iowa and Nevada voters should go uncounted just because their states have a caucus system.
++New Hampshire is based off the original numbers, I'll try to update when the recount is complete.
+++Florida is based on the 98% reporting I got last night, I'll update once we have the complete tally.
I'm not including Michigan because the lack of having all candidates on the ballot skews things, in my opinion. For those interested, here was the Michigan popular vote:
Clinton: 328.151
Uncommitted: 237,762
And, yes, Edwards is still on this one because I did it last night. Think of it as a tribute because his popular vote, while definitely lagging, is still pretty good.
Cross posted at Talk Left
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